Investing in reality over one version of the future

Markets were dominated by geopolitical events in May, driving volatility over the month. The biggest impact came from Italy where the reverberations from the March 4 election continue. A power struggle between the Eurosceptic populists — strong performers during the March election — and the President saw fears rise of another election and the potential of a populist win. This led markets to price in the risk of an Italian departure from the European Union.

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